We recently published a list of 7 Cheapest Penny Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where New Gold Inc. (NYSE:NGD) stands against other cheapest penny stocks.
What Does the Jobs Report Mean for the Stock Market
The Federal Reserve rate cut continues to be a hot topic for analysts especially with the new development that came in on October 4th with the Bureau of Labor Statistics releasing the job market report. One of the reasons why the Fed cut rates by 50 basis points was attributed to a weak labor market. It seems that the rate cut has worked but it also means that there might not be any urgency for the Fed to cut rates by another 50 basis points.
On October 4th Reuters reported the job market displayed significant resilience in September, with a notable increase of 254,000 non-farm payrolls and a drop in the unemployment rate to 4.1%. The United States Job gains increased the most in September when compared to the past six months. Moreover, on top of a higher than expected increase in non-farm jobs, wages also increased at a solid pace last month.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell had already pointed out that the urgency to cut interest rates is not what the market demands at the moment. He mentioned that the committee does not feel the hurry to cut rates quickly.
These recent developments have paved the way for smooth 25 basis point cuts and also brightened the path for a soft landing scenario. In one of our recent articles on 8 Stocks Under $20 To Invest In Now, we discussed the soft landing scenario in detail and what it will mean for the stock market. Here’s an excerpt from the article:
“Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James, says that the current market is exactly what a soft landing looks like. Adam recently appeared in an interview on CNBC to talk about how the lower interest rates will benefit the small caps in particular the Russell 2000. He believes that the bull market will continue while the economy inches towards a soft landing.
When it comes to small-cap stocks they get around 56% of their financing from the short end of the curve. The short end of the curve refers to the short-term interest rate on the yield curve, which typically represents the yields on bonds with shorter maturities, such as 2-year or 5-year Treasury notes. Whereas the large-cap companies get only 26% financing from these short ends of the curve. Therefore, Adam believes that as the Fed continues to lower interest rates it will help small caps meet financing needs.
He further pointed out that it is expected that the Fed will cut twice this year and another four times the next year. Another reason why he likes small caps is because the economy is going towards a soft landing. Adam emphasized that we have already seen that the rate cuts helped small caps outperform the large caps. Historically speaking whenever the economy has a soft landing it typically helps the small caps greater than the rest of the market.”
To talk about how the market will look like after this report, Jeremy Siegel, Wharton School professor of finance joined CNBC. He pointed out an interesting fact from the jobs report. Siegel mentioned that although 550,000 new jobs were added in the third quarter, hours worked were virtually flat.
Siegel expects third-quarter GDP to be around 2.5% to 3%. Moreover, the good news for the stocks is that the current job market figures are not inflationary but rather pointing toward productivity. Professor Siegel emphasized that he never thought the second cut would be 50 basis points and vouched for a series of 25 basis points cuts each quarter. This all points towards the soft landing scenario becoming more likely.
Is There More Room for Small Caps to Rally?
Now that we know that the economy is moving towards a soft landing rather than a recession, let’s see how the small caps are expected to perform under current circumstances. To talk about the expected performance of small caps in a slowing economy, Nancy Prial, Co-CEO & Senior Portfolio Manager at Essex Investment Management recently joined CNBC for an inverview. Prial thinks that this is the beginning of a multi-year bull cycle for small cap stocks. There are few basic underlying factors behind this claim including small caps being significantly under owned, in fact they are at record lows as a percentage of the total equity market. Moreover, the valuations of small caps are incredibly attractive and well below their large cap counterparts in the S&P 500.
Prial thinks what we really needed to turn the situation around was the Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and the confidence that the economy is moving towards a soft landing. Another significant factor that was needed is the relative earnings growth for small cap…
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