Gold prices rise as cooler U.S. jobs data builds case for sooner Fed rate cut

Gold futures extended recent gains to jump to six-week highs Friday, as the June jobs report that showed an increase in the unemployment rate to 4.1% was seen as a sign that high interest rates are slowing down the economy.

There were other indications that could point to a cooling job market, as average hourly earnings rose 3.9% from a year earlier for their smallest gain since 2021, and the job count – while rising by a solid 206K in June – was revised lower for April and May by a combined 111K jobs.

The data “clearly indicates that the Fed is facing significant challenges as the economy continues to deteriorate,” Naeem Aslam, chief investment officer at Zaye Capital Markets, told MarketWatch.

“The weaker labor market and services sector data have particularly influenced market expectations, increasing the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in the coming month,” Milad Azar of XTB Mena said, according to Dow Jones.

Front-month Comex gold (XAUUSD:CUR) for July delivery ended +1.2% to 2,388.50/oz, its highest settlement value since May 22, concluding 2.6% surge for the full week.

Also, front-month July Comex silver (XAGUSD:CUR) finished +2.7% to $2.151/oz, its highest settlement since May 30, up 7.3% for the week, and July copper (HG1:COM) closed +2.6% to $.6585/lb, the best since June 6 and 6.1% higher on the week.

ETFs: (GLD), (GDX), (GDXJ), (IAU), (NUGT), (PHYS), (GLDM), (AAAU), (SGOL), (BAR), (OUNZ), (SLV), (PSLV), (SIVR), (SIL), (SILJ), (NYSEARCA:CPER), (NYSEARCA:COPX), (OTC:JJCTF)

Copper futures topped $10K/ton on the London Metal Exchange after Citigroup analysts predicted the industrial metal may retest that level on investor optimism over policy support in China, which could introduce further stimulus to upgrade its renewable energy infrastructure at the Third Plenum meeting in mid-July.

The recent pullback in copper is mainly due to weaker manufacturing data globally, which Citi says is only temporary and has a chance to rise even further and reach $12K/ton due to the onset of rate cuts in major economies.